$3.8 Bn Funding Needed to Meet India’s 223 Mn sq. ft. Warehousing Demand in Next 3 Years

• Grade A warehouse absorption rose from 34 Mn sq. ft. in 2018 to 48.5 Mn sq ft in 2021 at a CAGR of 12.6%, supply up from 37.8 Mn sq. ft. to 51 Mn sq. ft in the same period at CAGR of 10.6%
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• Grade A warehouse leasing across 7 cities at approx. 160+ Mn sq ft, highest in West (MMR & Pune) with 37%, followed by South (Bangalore, Chennai & Hyderabad) with 32%
• Among top 7 cities, MMR has the highest average rent at INR 27/sq. ft., Hyderabad lowest at INR 20/sq. ft.
• Of top 10 micro markets, Western region (Bhiwandi, Chakan & Panvel/Taloja) dominates Grade A warehousing space leasing share with 41%

India will need to create adequate supply to meet an absorption of approx. 223 mn sq ft of Grade A warehousing demand over the next 3 years, finds the CREDAI-ANAROCK report ‘India Warehousing – A Sunrise Sector’. The report was released at NATCON 2022 held from in Abu Dhabi from 11-13 November, 2022. An equity investment of around $3.8 bn will be required to support this scale of development. 

Shobhit Agarwal, MD & CEO – ANAROCK Capital, says “Based on the data, the sector currently has ‘dry powder’ funding of $900 mn from existing commitments.  This signifies a latent investment opportunity of further $2.8 bn in the warehousing sector in the near future. Much of this funding will need to target Grade A warehousing facilities, which is witnessing increasing demand due to its direct and indirect beneficial impacts on overall operational efficiencies.”

The absorption of Grade A warehousing increased from 34 Mn sq. ft in 2018 to 48.5 Mn sq. ft in 2021 at a CAGR of 12.6%, states the report. Meanwhile, supply in this category rose from 37.8 Mn sq. ft to 51 Mn sq. ft in the same period at a CAGR of 10.6%.

The top 7 Indian cities witnessed approx. 160+ Mn sq. ft of Grade A warehouse leasing and was highest in the Western markets of MMR and Pune, followed by the primary Southern markets of Bangalore, Chennai and Hyderabad, which together saw 32% of the overall leasing volumes.

Top 10 Leasing Micro-Markets

Harsh Vardhan Patodia, President – CREDAI & CMD – Unimark Group, says, “Warehousing has emerged as one of the most preferred asset classes for investors and developers to balance their real estate portfolios. The warehousing segment is range bound and a high revenue generator. While the IRR is higher, the risk is lower, and production is faster. Moreover, this sector is consumption-led, unlike other sectors which a primarily developer-led.”

Warehousing Key PE Investment Deals & JV Platforms

Warehousing Rentals

Among the top 7 cities, MMR has the highest average rent at INR 27/sq. ft., and Hyderabad lowest at INR 20/sq.ft. Of top 10 micro markets, the Western markets of Bhiwandi, Chakan and Panvel/Taloja) dominate Grade A warehousing space leasing share with 41%.

Sectors Driving Warehousing Demand

The top 3 sectors – 3PL, E-commerce, and Manufacturing and Automotive account for a 78% share of warehouse leasing space across 7 cities. 3PL has the highest leasing space share at 42%, given the upsurge in companies deploying their supply chain and logistics function to 3PL players.

Warehousing Outlook

• Investors – both foreign and domestic – can expect an entry yield of 9-10%
• Going forward, many international developer funds are expected to enter Indian Warehousing space.
• So far, the warehousing development were led by funds – the next round of funding will be led by JV platform deals
• A warehouse sector-specific REIT/ InVIT expected to be announced in 2024
• Large scope for air cargo, cold-chain structures and in-city multi-level structure warehouse development
• ESG to become an integral factor as ESG standards-compliant projects see easier planning process, tenant retention and investor trust

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